Study Projects $2 Trillion Cost to Medicare from Illegal Immigration Under Medicare for All
Tholos Foundation report warns of unsustainable fiscal pressures from amnesty and healthcare expansion, highlighting the need for policy reforms.
Published October 17, 2024

A recent study by the Tholos Foundation reveals the significant financial strain that illegal immigration would impose on Medicare in a proposed Medicare for All system. The study estimates that Medicare spending would rise by $2 trillion over the next decade under this model, primarily driven by the inclusion of millions of illegal immigrants in the healthcare system.

The study highlights how amnesty for 11 to 12.5 million illegal immigrants would further burden Medicare, as most of these individuals are under 55 and would become eligible for benefits. Amnesty under the current system would already cost $1.8 trillion over ten years, with Medicare for All adding an additional $2 trillion in costs. These figures are especially concerning, given the projected insolvency of Medicare by 2036.

In addition to the direct cost of amnesty, the report notes that the Sanders-Harris Medicare for All proposal would lead to a $14.3 trillion tax increase over the next decade, equating to roughly $26,000 per household annually. These tax hikes would violate promises to avoid increasing taxes on middle-income Americans by Democrats.

Under this proposal, U.S. taxpayers would bear a substantial financial burden, while Medicare recipients could face challenges as the system becomes overwhelmed by new enrollees. The increased strain on resources may result in longer wait times, reduced access to care, and potential cuts in benefits for current recipients, leaving many to question the viability of the system.